MLB Props & Home Run Picks: August 5, 2025

Hey baseball fans! Get ready for another exciting day of MLB action. Today, we're diving into the best prop bets and home run picks for the games on Tuesday, August 5th, 2025. We've analyzed the matchups, stats, and trends to bring you our top selections that could help you win big. So, grab your peanuts and cracker jacks, and let's get started!

Top MLB Prop Bets for Today

When it comes to MLB prop bets, there's a ton of value to be found if you know where to look. Prop bets are wagers that aren't directly tied to the game's final outcome, such as player-specific performances or in-game events. Today, we've identified a few props that stand out due to favorable matchups and recent player trends. Let's break them down:

Player Strikeouts: Corbin Burnes Over 7.5 Strikeouts

First up, we're eyeing Corbin Burnes to rack up the strikeouts in his start today. Burnes is a strikeout machine, boasting an impressive K/9 rate this season. His ability to mix pitches and command the strike zone makes him a tough matchup for any hitter. Looking at his recent performances, Burnes has consistently exceeded this strikeout total, and his opponent today has a high strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers. This sets up perfectly for Burnes to have another dominant outing. The key here is Burnes' consistency and the opposing team's vulnerability to strikeouts. He's not just throwing fastballs; he's painting corners and getting hitters to chase pitches out of the zone. Guys, we're talking about a pitcher who can make even the best hitters look silly at the plate. So, betting on Burnes to go over 7.5 strikeouts seems like a solid play.

Furthermore, consider the conditions of the game. A night game often favors pitchers, as the shadows and cooler temperatures can impact hitters' visibility and grip. Also, look at the umpire behind the plate; some umpires have a tighter strike zone, which can lead to more walks, while others are more generous, which can result in more strikeouts. Burnes has a proven track record against similar lineups, and his ability to adapt mid-game is a crucial factor. He's not a one-trick pony; he can adjust his approach based on how the hitters are reacting. This makes him a smart pick for this prop bet.

Finally, don't forget to check the weather forecast. Wind blowing in can suppress home runs and extra-base hits, which can lead to more strikeouts as hitters try to do too much. All these factors combined make Corbin Burnes a prime candidate to exceed 7.5 strikeouts in today's game. It's not just about luck; it's about understanding the nuances of the game and making informed decisions. So, let's get those tickets in and root for Burnes to have a stellar performance!

Player Runs Batted In (RBIs): Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs

Next, we're focusing on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to drive in at least one run today. Vlad Jr. is a run-producing machine in the heart of his team's lineup. His powerful swing and ability to hit for average and power make him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. Today's matchup against a weaker starting pitcher increases his chances of driving in runs. Vlad Jr. has a knack for coming through in clutch situations, and his teammates being on base ahead of him only improves his RBI potential. When you're looking at RBI props, you need to consider a player's position in the batting order, the hitters in front of him, and the opposing pitcher's tendencies. All these factors align in Vlad Jr.'s favor today.

Vlad Jr.'s recent performance also plays a significant role in this pick. He's been hitting the ball hard and consistently finding ways to get on base. Even if he doesn't hit a home run, he's capable of driving in runs with singles, doubles, or even a sacrifice fly. His aggressive approach at the plate and willingness to take risks on the basepaths make him a dynamic player who can change the game with one swing. Additionally, the park factors come into play. If the game is being played in a hitter-friendly ballpark, Vlad Jr.'s chances of driving in runs increase even further. The short porches and favorable wind conditions can turn a routine fly ball into a run-scoring opportunity.

Moreover, Vlad Jr.'s mental game is a significant asset. He's known for his composure under pressure and his ability to stay focused in crucial moments. This is essential for a run producer, as the ability to block out distractions and concentrate on the task at hand is what separates the good from the great. Guys, we're talking about a player who thrives in the spotlight, and today's game presents a perfect opportunity for him to shine. So, let's back Vlad Jr. to drive in at least one run and watch him do what he does best: rake!

Team Total Runs: Los Angeles Dodgers Over 4.5 Runs

For our third prop, we're looking at the Los Angeles Dodgers to score more than 4.5 runs today. The Dodgers' lineup is stacked with talent, featuring some of the best hitters in the game. Their ability to score runs in bunches makes them a prime candidate for this prop. They are facing a pitcher with a history of struggling against left-handed hitters, and the Dodgers have several lefties in their lineup who can exploit this weakness. The key here is the Dodgers' depth and their ability to put pressure on opposing pitchers throughout the game. It's not just about one or two guys; it's a team effort.

The Dodgers' offensive approach is another factor to consider. They're known for their patience at the plate, their ability to work counts, and their willingness to take walks. This approach can wear down opposing pitchers and create opportunities for big innings. Furthermore, the Dodgers' coaching staff is adept at making in-game adjustments, which means they can adapt their strategy based on how the game is unfolding. This adaptability is a crucial advantage in MLB, where games can turn on a dime. Also, let's not forget about the momentum factor. If the Dodgers get off to a hot start, their chances of exceeding 4.5 runs increase significantly. Confidence is contagious in baseball, and when a team is hitting well, it can be tough to stop them.

Plus, look at the bullpen situation for the opposing team. If they have a shaky bullpen, the Dodgers can exploit this weakness late in the game. Bullpen implosions can lead to crooked numbers on the scoreboard, and the Dodgers have the firepower to take advantage of any vulnerabilities. Overall, the Dodgers' potent offense, favorable matchup, and strategic approach make them a strong bet to score more than 4.5 runs today. It's a combination of factors that adds up to a high probability of success. So, let's root for the boys in blue to light up the scoreboard!

Home Run Picks for Today

Now, let's move on to the fun part: home run picks! Is there anything more exciting than watching a baseball sail over the fence? We've identified a few players who have the potential to go yard today based on their matchups, power numbers, and recent performances. Let's dive into our home run selections:

Pete Alonso vs. Left-Handed Pitchers

Pete Alonso is our first pick to hit a home run today, especially against a left-handed pitcher. Alonso has tremendous power, and he feasts on lefties. His ability to drive the ball to all fields makes him a tough matchup for southpaws. Looking at his career stats, Alonso's home run rate against lefties is significantly higher than against righties. This matchup is tailor-made for Alonso to launch one out of the park. When you're betting on home run props, you need to consider a player's power, their splits against lefties and righties, and the ballpark dimensions. All these factors align in Alonso's favor today.

Alonso's approach at the plate is also crucial. He's not afraid to swing for the fences, and he has the strength to turn routine fly balls into home runs. His aggressive style and confidence in his power make him a dangerous hitter in any situation. Additionally, the opposing pitcher's tendencies play a role. If the pitcher likes to throw fastballs in the strike zone, Alonso is more likely to connect for a long ball. He thrives on fastballs, and he has the bat speed to catch up to even the hardest pitches. Moreover, Alonso's consistency is a key factor. He's not a streaky hitter; he consistently hits for power, and he's always a threat to go deep. This makes him a reliable pick for a home run prop.

Plus, the ballpark conditions can't be ignored. If the wind is blowing out, Alonso's chances of hitting a home run increase significantly. Short fences and favorable wind conditions can turn a potential double into a four-bagger. Overall, Pete Alonso's combination of power, favorable matchup, and aggressive approach make him a prime candidate to hit a home run today. It's a high-risk, high-reward bet, but the potential payout is well worth it. So, let's cheer on Alonso to crush one over the fence!

Shohei Ohtani: A Two-Way Threat to Go Yard

Next up, we have the one and only Shohei Ohtani as a home run pick. Ohtani is a unique talent, capable of dominating on the mound and at the plate. His incredible power and hitting ability make him a threat to go deep in every game. Ohtani's stats this season are eye-popping, and his ability to hit home runs to all fields is truly remarkable. Today's matchup against a pitcher who struggles with command further enhances his chances of going yard. When it comes to Ohtani, you're not just betting on a hitter; you're betting on a superstar with unmatched potential.

Ohtani's bat speed and raw power are off the charts. He can generate tremendous force with his swing, and he has the ability to hit home runs even on pitches that aren't perfectly located. His athleticism and coordination are a rare combination, and he uses his entire body to generate power. Furthermore, Ohtani's mental approach is a significant asset. He's incredibly focused and determined, and he thrives in pressure situations. This mental toughness allows him to stay composed at the plate and deliver in clutch moments. Also, let's not forget about the excitement factor. Watching Ohtani play is an experience in itself, and there's always a sense of anticipation when he steps into the batter's box. He's a game-changer, and he has the potential to impact the game in so many ways.

Moreover, Ohtani's ability to make adjustments at the plate is impressive. He can analyze the pitcher's tendencies and adjust his swing accordingly. This adaptability makes him a tough hitter to figure out, and he's always one step ahead of the competition. Guys, we're talking about a player who's rewriting the record books, and he's just getting started. So, let's back Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run and witness history in the making!

Yordan Alvarez: Power Hitter Extraordinaire

Our final home run pick for today is Yordan Alvarez. Alvarez is a pure power hitter with a smooth swing and an uncanny ability to drive the ball. His strength and bat speed are elite, and he has a knack for hitting home runs in crucial situations. Today's matchup against a right-handed pitcher with a high ERA sets up perfectly for Alvarez to go yard. When you're looking for home run hitters, Alvarez is always a name that should be near the top of your list.

Alvarez's ability to hit the ball hard to all fields is a key factor. He's not just pulling the ball; he can drive it out of the park to center and right field as well. This versatility makes him a tough hitter to pitch to, as pitchers can't simply try to jam him inside. His patient approach at the plate is another asset. He doesn't chase bad pitches, and he waits for his opportunity to unleash his power. Additionally, Alvarez's discipline is crucial. He has a good eye and knows the strike zone, which allows him to take walks when necessary and put himself in advantageous counts. Also, the lineup around Alvarez provides protection. When he's hitting in the middle of a strong lineup, he sees better pitches and has more opportunities to drive in runs and hit home runs.

Plus, Alvarez's track record speaks for itself. He's consistently been one of the top power hitters in the league, and he's shown no signs of slowing down. His consistency and ability to stay healthy make him a reliable pick for a home run prop. Guys, we're talking about a player who can change the game with one swing, and today's game presents a perfect opportunity for him to do just that. So, let's root for Yordan Alvarez to launch one into the stands!

Final Thoughts

Alright, baseball enthusiasts, that wraps up our top MLB prop bets and home run picks for today, August 5th, 2025! Remember, these are just our recommendations based on careful analysis and research. Always gamble responsibly and within your means. Baseball is an unpredictable game, but with a little knowledge and a bit of luck, we can all enjoy the thrill of winning. Good luck with your bets, and let's hope for some exciting games and big home runs! Cheers!